Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000100 0.000111 0.000122 0.000136 0.000150 0.000166 0.000184
2025-12-21 0.000084 0.000099 0.000116 0.000136 0.000159 0.000186 0.000220
2025-12-28 0.000072 0.000089 0.000109 0.000134 0.000166 0.000204 0.000254
2026-01-04 0.000065 0.000083 0.000106 0.000136 0.000176 0.000226 0.000295
2026-01-11 0.000058 0.000077 0.000102 0.000136 0.000183 0.000245 0.000334
2026-01-18 0.000052 0.000072 0.000098 0.000136 0.000189 0.000263 0.000373
2026-01-25 0.000047 0.000067 0.000094 0.000135 0.000195 0.000280 0.000411
2026-02-01 0.000043 0.000063 0.000091 0.000135 0.000201 0.000298 0.000453
2026-02-08 0.000039 0.000059 0.000088 0.000133 0.000204 0.000312 0.000489
2026-02-15 0.000036 0.000056 0.000085 0.000132 0.000208 0.000327 0.000530
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000053 0.000083 0.000133 0.000214 0.000345 0.000575
2026-03-01 0.000031 0.000050 0.000080 0.000131 0.000217 0.000359 0.000614
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000049 0.000079 0.000133 0.000226 0.000383 0.000675
2026-03-15 0.000028 0.000047 0.000078 0.000134 0.000233 0.000405 0.000733
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000044 0.000076 0.000133 0.000237 0.000421 0.000784
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000043 0.000075 0.000135 0.000246 0.000448 0.000856
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000042 0.000074 0.000135 0.000252 0.000470 0.000921
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000040 0.000072 0.000135 0.000257 0.000489 0.000983
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000038 0.000070 0.000134 0.000260 0.000507 0.001043
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000037 0.000069 0.000134 0.000266 0.000529 0.001113
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000035 0.000067 0.000132 0.000267 0.000543 0.001168
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000034 0.000065 0.000131 0.000271 0.000561 0.001234
2026-05-17 0.000017 0.000033 0.000064 0.000132 0.000276 0.000583 0.001311